Kickoff 7.12.23 lead
What you need to know

Curtin signs contract extension with Philadelphia Union

The Union announced Tuesday that two-time Sigi Schmid MLS Coach of the Year Jim Curtin has signed a contract extension through 2026. Curtin, whose previous deal was set to expire after the 2023 MLS season, has led Philadelphia to the 2020 MLS Supporters' Shield and an MLS Cup 2022 appearance. They've also made two Concacaf Champions Cup semifinals in the past three years (2021 and '23), as well as three US Open Cup finals (2014, '15, '18).

NYCFC sign Algerian forward Bakrar

New York City FC have bolstered their attack, announcing Tuesday they’ve signed Algerian youth international forward Mounsef Bakrar from Croatian top-flight side NK Istra 1961. Bakrar, 22, joins via the league’s U22 Initiative and is under contract through 2026 with an option for 2027. He arrives with 18 goals and three assists in 84 club appearances, breaking through at Algerian side ES Sétif before moving to Istra.

Vancouver Whitecaps sign Cubas to contract extension

Vancouver Whitecaps FC have signed defensive midfielder Andrés Cubas to a contract extension through the 2026 MLS season with an option for 2027. The 27-year-old Paraguay international, who will remain a Designated Player in Vancouver, originally joined the club last season from French second-division club Nîmes Olympique.

A big Wednesday

Tonight features a few of the biggest regular-season games of the year and Gold Cup semifinals between the US and Panama, plus Jamaica and Mexico. We’re genuinely talking about one of the best soccer nights of the year. Take a look at the full schedule here and prepare yourself as needed.

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Your Wednesday storylines

Seriously, I just want to iterate here, an amazing night of soccer is in store. The Universe graciously chose quality and quantity without spreading the night too thin. After saying all that, it likely won’t live up to expectations, but the odds of seeing a handful of well-played games between the league’s best teams are very high. It’s like a mini-Audi MLS Cup Playoffs night. Our chances of seeing something special are higher than normal. And if that doesn’t actually work out, you can just check in on the Gold Cup and pretend that I never called this one of the nights of the year in MLS.

Here’s what to keep an eye on in particular:

1
Four games that might shape the Shield race for the rest of the year

We’ve said this before, but the Supporters’ Shield might be wrapped up by the end of the night. The last time we mentioned it, the gap between Cincy and the field actually closed. Even still, they’re tremendous favorites and that gap remains pretty big, all considered. No matter what happens tonight, it will take a bit of a nosedive from Cincinnati and a heckuva performance the rest of the way from one of the few teams that can actually catch them.

That list is essentially down to four teams at this point. St. Louis are seven points behind, New England are eight points behind, Nashville are seven points behind with a game out of hand and Philadelphia are 11 points behind but are also liable to go supernova hot at any moment. But I’m being generous to those three teams if I’m being honest and kind of harsh on teams like Columbus, LAFC and Seattle. All are very good, but I’m just not sure they have the juice this year to close the gaps we’re talking about.

Just to put it in perspective again, Cincy could get one point per game from here on out and finish with 57 points. If we’re realistic about it, a “nosedive” in this case probably looks more like Cincy being a totally decent 1.5ish points per game the rest of the way. That would put them at about 65 points. St. Louis, the closest team, would need to match Cincy’s current 2.14 points per game pace the rest of the way just to tie.

It’s MLS though! Nothing is out of the realm of possibility. And Cincy have a tough test tonight against the Red Bulls at Red Bull Arena. The Garys have actually looked mortal on the road this year, and, as we’ve mentioned over and over here, New York’s underlying numbers are among the best in the league.

Fortunately, Cincy’s style matches up well with New York’s, and the Red Bulls have struggled to put together consistent performances this year, especially in attack. A loss could mean some pressure is coming their way, though. If a few teams start to get closer and closer, it’s fair to wonder how they’ll handle a situation totally foreign to the club.

2
Three games that might shape the race for home playoff spots in the Eastern Conference for the rest of the year

While we may understand the Shield race a little more after tonight, we’ll probably get a little more confused about the East. I know that’s not helpful, but I don’t see any clarity coming our way here. I do think, however, tonight might be one of those nights that we look back on down the road and see where it made a difference.

We’re probably at the point of the year where we can go ahead and call the New England-Atlanta and Nashville-Philadelphia games “six-pointers.”

Third-place New England and fifth-place Atlanta are separated by two points. Atlanta outplayed the Revs in Atlanta earlier this year but literally gave away goals in a 3-3 draw. That said, the Five Stripes have shifted their setup and philosophy a bit since then. The Revs will have to become the first team to break down Atlanta’s back five. They’ve given up just two shots on goal in the games since the shift. New England have Carles Gil though, so… I’d expect that number to change.

Second-place Nashille and sixth-place Philadelphia are separated by four points and even smaller margins than New England and Atlanta on points per game. The Union have had a bit of a tough time figuring out life without Kai Wagner and Andre Blake as of late and have dropped their last two games. A third-straight road game couldn’t have come at a worse time. But they’re still the Union and can roll over an opposing side up at any point. That definitely includes a Nashville team that inexplicably laid an egg on the road against Chicago last week.

3
Three games that might shape the race for the top of the Western Conference for the rest of the year

Out West, every game feels important right now. There’s probably only one team you can comfortably count out of the playoff race. There’s incredibly little separation in the middle of the pack. So, yes, Houston-Minnesota and Vancouver-Austin also carry importance.

That said, there really only seem to be four teams that have the quality to win the conference right now. A higher seed and home playoff games could be a massive difference by the time those teams meet up in the postseason.

RSL take on Sporting KC on the road tonight and will look to continue their league-best road form. They’re just five points behind first-place St. Louis. Then there’s Seattle and San Jose. It kind of feels like Seattle are finding their groove lately and like the Quakes need a shot in the arm. Another road win for Seattle could potentially put them even on points with St. Louis at the end of the night.

In fact, we could have four teams within two points of the top spot in the West after tonight because St. Louis have the unenviable task of facing LAFC in LA. RSL, Seattle and LAFC wins would bring us to that scenario. Fortunately for CITY, they’re catching LAFC at the best possible time. The Black & Gold couldn’t be more exhausted than they are at this exact moment. They’re reaching the very end of a grueling stretch where they’ve played a game about every 3.5 days for the last few weeks, and their results have suffered as a consequence.

That makes tonight huge for St. Louis’ hopes of topping the conference. LAFC are about to get a long break and a chance to add talent in the summer transfer window. They have a ton of points in them down the stretch. St. Louis need as much distance as possible. A six-point swing tonight could be critical.

Other Things

LA Galaxy acquire defender Tony Alfaro from NYCFC

The LA Galaxy have acquired veteran MLS defender Tony Alfaro in an intra-league trade with New York City FC. In exchange for the 30-year-old center back, the Galaxy sent a guaranteed $125,000 in 2023 General Allocation Money (GAM) to NYC. The Cityzens will receive an additional $375,000 in GAM should certain performance-based incentives be met.

Columbus Crew head coach Nancy suspended additional game

The Disciplinary Committee has suspended Columbus Crew head coach Wilfried Nancy for one additional match (two matches total) and fined Nancy an undisclosed amount for irresponsible behavior in the 87th minute of Columbus’s match against New York City FC on July 8.

Orlando City sign homegrown goalkeeper Otero

Orlando City SC have signed homegrown goalkeeper Javier Otero through the 2024 MLS season with club options for 2025-26. Otero, 20, joined Orlando’s academy in 2017 before progressing to Orlando City B in 2020.

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Good luck out there. Find a place to stick around a while.